CAPIS Morning Note – 5/08/24: Stocks Are Lower, Uber Misses

Overnight Summary: The S&P 500 closed Tuesday higher by 0.13% at 5187.70 from Monday higher by 1.03% at 5180.74. The overnight high was hit at 5,218 at 3:35 a.m. while the overnight low was hit at 5208.25 at 6:10 a.m. EDT. The range overnight is 10 points as of 7:00 a.m. EDT. Currently, the S&P 500 […]

Overnight SummaryThe S&P 500 closed Tuesday higher by 0.13% at 5187.70 from Monday higher by 1.03% at 5180.74. The overnight high was hit at 5,218 at 3:35 a.m. while the overnight low was hit at 5208.25 at 6:10 a.m. EDT. The range overnight is 10 points as of 7:00 a.m. EDT.  Currently, the S&P 500 is lower by -1.25 points at 7:00 a.m. EDT.

Executive Summary:  All is quiet on the economic front. Watch to see how the 10-Year Auction goes at 1:00 p.m. EDT.
  • 10-Year Auction at 1:oo p.m.
  • Several Fed Speakers today.
Earnings Out After The Close: 
  • Beats: LGND +3.01, IAC +1.83, AIZ +1.09, CMP +0.86, AGO +0.64, CRUS +0.60, RDDT +0.56, IRBT +0.48, INSP +0.31, WYNN +0.30, ANET +0.25, AZPN +0.24, TWLO +0.21, BIO +0.14, ICUI +0.14, INGN +0.14, QLYS +0.14, LOPE +0.13, SONO +0.12, LYFT +0.09, BROS +0.08, MASI +0.07, RNG +0.07, UPST +0.06, OXY +0.05, PCRX +0.05, GPRO +0.04, MTCH +0.03, JKHY +0.02,   of note. (Greater than +0.10)
  • Flat:   None of note.
  • Misses: RGR -0.44, RIVN -0.33, MRCY -0.24, TOST -0.20, MCK -0.18, GO -0.09, UIS -0.05, CPNG -0.05, MTW -0.04, LZ -0.01, EA -0.01,  of note.

Capital Raises:

  • IPOs For The Week: .
  • New SPACs launched/News:
  • Secondaries Priced:
  • Notes Priced of note:
    • WPC prices 650 million pounds offering of Senior Unsectured Notes
    • GTX prices $800 million of Senior Noted due 2032
  • Common Stock filings/Notes:
    • AVA files a 3,305,541 offering of common stock
    • CXDO files a $75 million common stock offering
    • DLR files a 10.500,000 common stock offering
    • MAX files 6,000,000 common stock offering
  • Direct Offering:
  • Exchangeable Subordinate Voting Shares:
  • Selling Shareholders of note:
    • CGC files 1,086,279 common stock offering by a selling shareholders.
    • SLN files 4,643,608 shares of common stock by selling shareholders.
    • CXDO files a 3,500,000 offering of common stock by selling shareholders.
  •  Debt/Credit Filing and Notes:
    • FBIN files debt securities
  • Mixed Shelf Offerings:
    • EGNB files $150 million mixed-shelf offering files a mixed-shelf offering
    • PRO files a $200 million mixed-shelf offering
    • MYE files a $400 million mixed-shelf offering
    • MDGL files a mixed-shelf offering
    • OST files a $200 million mixed-shelf offering
    •  files a mixed-shelf offering
  • Tender Offer:
  • Private Placement of Public Entity (PIPE)
  • Rights Offering:
  • Convertible Offering & Notes Filed:

Capital Raise Summary From The TradeXchange, bringing traders and investors real time news and Squawk Box, and other sources.

  • Movers of Note: 
    • ODD +13.4%, RDDT +12.6%, CRUS +11.4%, POWI +11.2%, GMED +10.9%, INTA +9.2%, RNG +9.2%
    • TMCI -46%, DV -36.5%, GO -18%, INSP -16.2%, ZI -14.2%
  • News Items After the Close:
    • Tik Tok sues the U.S. government. (NYT)
    • Dutch Bros (BROS) avoid Starbucks weak sales. (MarketWatch)
    • Redditt (RDDT) puts up strong number in first report since going public. (Yahoo Finance)
  • Buyback Announcements or News
    • EA announces a $5 billion buyback program through 2027.
    •  repurchase program.
  • Exchange/Listing/Company Reorg and Personnel News
    • .
  • Stock Splits or News:
    • .
  • Dividends Announcements or News: 
    • PR increases quarterly dividend to $0.06 from $0.05.
    • WTS increases quarterly dividend to $0.43 from $0.36.
    • ASH increases quarterly dividend to $0.405 from $0.385.

What’s Happening This MorningFutures value reflects the change with fair value.

S&P 500 -11, Dow Jones -18, NASDAQ -52, Russell  -11.25.  (as of 8:15 a.m. EDT).  Asia is higher ex the Nikkei and Europe are higher this morning. VIX Futures are at 14.09 from 14.28.  Gold, Silver and Copper are lower this morning for a second day in a row. WTI Crude Oil and Brent Crude Oil are lower with Natural Gas higher. US 10-year Treasury sees its yield at 4.481% from 4.461%  yesterday. The U.S. Dollar is higher versus the Euro, higher versus the Pound and higher against the YenBitcoin is at $62,455 from $64,033  by -1.03% this morning.

Sector Action – (1/3/6/12/YTD Updated Weekly with Monday release):  

  • Daily Positive Sectors:  Consumer Defensive, Utilities, Communication Services and Healthcare of note.
  • Daily Negative Sectors: Consumer Cyclical and Technology of note.
  • One Month Winners: Consumer Defensive, Communication Services, and Utilities of note.
  • Three Month Winners: All but Real Estate led by Energy,  Materials and Communication Services of note.
  • Six Month Winners: Communication Services, Technology, Industrials and Financials of note.
  • Twelve Month Winners: Communication Services, Technology, Financials,  Industrials, and Consumer Cyclicals of note.
  • Year to Date Winners:  Communication Services, Energy,  Technology, Financials, Industrials, and Technology, Consumer Defensive of note.

Upcoming Earnings Of Note:

  • Wednesday After the Close: ($3 Billion Market Cap Cut Off)

  • Thursday Before the Open: ($2 Billion Market Cap Cut Off)

Earnings of Note This Morning:

  • Beats: SGHC +8.20, ATHM +1.00, SUN +0.95, LCI +0.92, INSW +0.54, GFF +0.51, SU +0.48, AFRM +0.27, CHH +0.14, STWD +0.13, EMR +0.11, DINO +0.11, NYT +0.11, BUD +0.09, TRIP +0.08, HAIN +0.05, RDWR +0.03, SHOP +0.03, VV +0.02 of note.
  • Flat:  of note.
  • Misses:  UBER -0.54, DIN -0.24, SATS -0.20, MIDD -0.17, IMCR -0.12, HLLY -0.06, TEVA -0.03, SMRT -0.03 of note.
  • Still to Report:  of note.

Company Earnings Guidance:

  • Positive Guidance:  GFF AFRM EPC YOU PAYO DIBS ODP of note.
  • Negative Guidance: MCFT KRNT PFGC RCM of note.

Erlanger Research Advance/Decline Chart: 

Gap Ups & Down In Early Pre-Market (+2% or down more than -2%):

  • Gap Up: RDDT +14.7%, RNG +13.9%, LPX +13.7%, KD +13.1%, CFLT +12.8%, CRCT +12.1%, LAZR +11.5%, CRUS +11.4%, POWI +11.2%, GMED +11%, ODD +11%, OLO +10.7%, NVRO +9.2%, INTA +9.2%, BROS +9.1%, ANET +7.9%, BL +7.2%, LYFT +7.2%, WTS +7%, PERI +6.7%, PUBM +6.2%, MYGN +6.2%, ANGI +5.8%, MQ +5.5%, AGL +5.4%, DCGO +5.3%, TOST +5.3%, BUD +5%, AMRC +4.9%, GPRO +4.3%, CTMX +4.2%, ACMR +4.1%, SUZ +3.8%, NRDY +3.8%, VCYT +3.7%, ENV +3.6%, ENLT +3.5%, HASI +3.1%, DO +2.8%, MGY +2.7%, VECO +2.7%, MFC +2.5%, EGY +2.5%, AIZ +2.1%, INGN +2.1%, CRC +2.1%, WYNN +2% of note.
  • Gap Down: TMCI -54.9%, DV -39%, ZI -22.6%, INSP -17.4%, SHLS -15.8%, GO -15.2%, FLYW -14.3%, LZ -13.7%, AMRK -12.6%, MAX -12.5%, UPST -11.9%, DH -11.9%, ATEC -11.6%, ANDE -10.9%, OPK -10%, CDRE -9.8%, TWLO -7.1%, OCUL -6.7%, ALAB -6.5%, UBER -6.15%, CPNG -6%, MTCH -5.6%, RGR -5%, JANX -5%, CRSR -4.9%, CMP -4.8%, RPD -4.8%, RIVN -4.7%, UIS -4.7%, USPH -4.4%, ICHR -4.3%, RRR -4.3%, CERT -3.8%, STAA -3.5%, EA -3.5%, DLR -3.3%, ASTH -3.3%, SONO -3.3%, RVLV -3.1%, SPCE -3%, EVRI -3%, EGBN -2.8%, VIV -2.7%, MRCY -2.4%, KMT -2.4%, IRS -2.1%of note.

Insider Action:  HUBB CZR WSC sees Insider buying with dumb short selling.   Today sees CTRN with  Insider buying with smart short sellers.

Rags & Mags: Repeated stories from prior days never listed, i.e. “rehashed news”. Sorted by Global, U.S. and stock specific.

  • 5 Things To Know Before The Market Opens On Wednesday. (CNBC)
  • What You Need To Know To Start Your Day. (Bloomberg)
  • Stocks Making the Biggest Moves:   (CNBC)
  • Bloomberg Lead Story: U.S. Pauses Arms Shipments to Israel. (Bloomberg)
  • Weekly mortgage refinance demand rose 5%. (CNBC).
  • Stock rally hits the wall after earnings disappoint: Markets Wrap. (Bloomberg)
  • Uber beats on revenues but moves back to a net loss, stock lower. (CNBC)
  • Bloomberg Daybreak Podcast: . (Podcast)
  • Bloomberg Big Take Podcast: Americans are racking up “phantom debt”. (Podcast)

Moving Average Update: Score remains at 100%.

Geopolitical: 

  • President’s Public Schedule:
    • President Biden receives the Daily Briefing at 8:45 a.m. EDT.
    • President Biden heads to Racine, Wisconsin to speak at 12:45 on investing in America and unveil $3 billion investment in Microsoft Data Center.
    • President Biden holds a campaign event in Racine at 2:15 p.m. EDT.
    • President Biden then heads to Chicago for campaign event at 5:30 p.m. EDT
    • President Biden arrives back at the White House at 10:50 p.m. EDT.

Economic:  

  • MBA Mortgage Applications out at 7:00 a.m. EDT.
  • Treasury holds a 10-Year Note Auction at 1:00 p.m. EDT.
  • Weekly  Crude Oil Report is out at 10:30 a.m. EDT.

Federal Reserve / Treasury Speakers:

  • Federal Reserve Vice Chairman Philip Jefferson speaks at 11:00 a.m. EDT.
  • Federal Reserve Boston President Susan Collins speaks at 11:45 a.m. EDT.
  • Federal Reserve Governor Lisa Cook speaks at 1:30 p.m. EDT.

M&A Activity and News:

  • None of note.

Meeting & Conferences of Note:

  • Sellside Conferences:
    • None of note.
  • Top Shareholder Meetings: AMD CSX FSLR GILD KMI MUR PM SPG
  • Fireside Chat: None of note.
  • Investor/Analyst Day/Calls: AER COST KBR PDSB MPTI
  • Update: None of note.
  • R&D Day: None of note.
  • FDA Presentation:
  • Company Event:
  • Industry Meetings:
    • American Society of Cell & Gene Therapy Meeting
    • Aegis Conference
    • Association for Research in Vision and Opthamology
    • Barclays Americas Select Franchise Conference
    • Battery and EV Congress
    • BMO Real Estate Conference
    • BTIG Obesity Forum
    • Canaccord Global Metals & Mining Conference
    • D.A. Davidson Financial Institutions Conference
    • Jamaica Mining Conference
    • Milken Institute Global Conference
    • Offshore Technology Conference
    • Oppenheimer Industrial Growth Conference
    • Sidoti Micro Cap Virtual Conference
    • Spinal Cord Injury Investor Symposium
    • Waste Expo

Top Tier Sell-side Upgrades & Downgrades:

The recommendations listed below in this “Upgrade/Downgrade” section are compiled from what we believe are Tier I, II and III firms. Recommendations posted are taken from a variety of sources each day and we only post upgrades or significant initiations as well as downgrades to underweight or sell. The purpose of this posting is to make the reader aware of market-moving recommendations. None of these recommendations should be interpreted as actual recommendations from CAPIS or its employees.

Today’s Upgrades and Downgrades: