Overnight Summary & Early Morning Trading: The S&P 500 finished Friday higher by 0.55% at 5770.20. Thursday -1.78% at 5738.52. Futures are lower this morning by -67.25 on the S&P 500 at 6:55 a.m. EDT. Current level is 5710.
Executive Summary: Back and forth we go. The S&P 500 is still below 5800. The range moved from 300 to 400 points on the S&P 500 for the year, 5700 to 6100. Futures are lower this morning and 5600 could become support.
Breaking:
Key Events of Note Today:
- There are no economic data points of note today.
Notable Earnings Out After The Close
- Beats: None of note.
- Misses: None of note.
- IPOs For The Week: APUS, FATN, KMTS. OMGE, SAGT,
WGRX - New IPOs/SPACs launched/News:
- IPOs Filed/Priced: None of note.
- Secondaries Filed or Priced:
- Notes Priced:
- Direct Offering: None of note.
- Exchangeable Subordinate Voting Shares: None of note.
- Selling Shareholders of note:
- VAL files for 4,760,965 share common stock offering by selling shareholders.
- Mixed Shelf Offerings:
- AS files mixed securities shelf offering,
- INDI files mixed securities shelf offering.
- Convertible Offerings & Notes Filed:
Biggest Movers Up & Down Last Week:
- Movers Up: TGTX (37.85 +25.79%), STIM (5.04 +18.47%), ARRY (6.21 +17.61%), MRNA (35.72 +15.37%), CYRX (6.41 +15.08%), MYE (13.17 +20.16%), MT (33.32 +20.12%), HMY (11.9 +19.6%), PKX (53.58 +15.86%), ATRO (24.68 +23.34%), TRS (23.85 +16.37%), OKTA (112.26 +24.06%), CACI (387.44 +15.71%), TREE (48.53 +20.15%), ING (20.76 +17.06%) of note.
- Movers Down: EBS (5.79 -22.59%), MESO (13.41 -21.81%), RYAM (5.96 -22.6%), GTLS (150.02 -21.27%), SNBR (7.36 -47.69%), FNKO (8.95 -27.35%), GCO (27.06 -26.02%), VFC (19.11 -23.35%), MEI (6.54 -40%), MDB (187.37 -29.94%), AAOI (15.99 -26.85%), MRVL (70.38 -23.36%), HPE (15.75 -20.52% of note.
News After The Close:
- Mineralys Therapeutics (MLYS) to Announce Topline Data from Launch-HTN and Advance-HTN Pivotal Trials Monday, March 10, 2025, at 8:00 AM ET
- Janus International Group (JBI) announces $40 million debt paydown.
- Robinhood (HOOD) ordered to pay $29.75 mln in fines for violating numerous FINRA rules.
- Intuitive Machines (LUNR) collected some data for NASA before calling an early end of IM-2 mission.
- Cognizant Tech (CTSH) up over +3% after activist investor Mantle Ridge built an over $1 bln stake in the company.
- Dexcom (DXCM) receives FDA warning letter; does not expect a material financial impact.
- Index Changes
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- S&P 100 In: PLTR ISRG NOW Out: DOW KHC F.
- S&P 500 In: TKO WSM EXE Out: BWA TFX CE FMC
- S&P 400 In: VFC ALK HIMS BBWI ATI SATS Out: TKO WSM EXE CC TDC NEOG
- S&P 600 In: RHP ESI FRPT WSC MWA KTOS CLSK TFX CE FMC BWA Out: WNC GDOT FLGT NBR GPRE MATV HAIN.
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- 10K or Qs Filings/Delays – (Filed), ULBI, (Delayed) of note.
Exchange/Listing/Company Reorg and Personnel News:
Buybacks
- AMAT authorizes a $10 billion stock buyback.
Dividends Announcements or News:
- Stocks Ex Div Today:
- Stocks Ex Div Tomorrow:
- AMAT raises dividend by 15%.
What’s Happening This Morning: (as of 7:35 a.m. EDT) Futures S&P 500 -70, NASDAQ -281, Dow Jones -440, Russell 2000 -24.29. Europe is lower with Asia lower ex China. Bonds are at 4.24% from 4.253% Friday on the 10-Year. Crude Oil and Brent Crude are higher with Natural Gas lower. Gold higher with Silver lower and Copper lower. The U.S. Dollar is higher versus the Euro, higher against the Pound and lower against the Yen. Bitcoin is at $82,235 from $89,079 lower by $-375 by -0.45%. (Our morning table will return tomorrow as we are still in travel mode and having some difficulty with images.)
- Daily Positive Sectors: Utilities, Energy, Technology and Industrials were higher.
- Daily Negative Sectors: Consumer Defensive, Financials and Consumer Cylcical were lower.
- One Month Winners: Real Estate, Consumer Defensive, Utilities and Healthcare of note.
- Three Month Winners: Communication Services, Consumer Defensive, Financials and Healthcare of note.
- Six Month Winners: Communication Services, Financials, Consumer Cyclical and Utilities of note.
- Twelve Month Winners: Financials, Utilities, Communication Services, Technology and Consumer Defensive of note.
- Year to Date Winners: Financials, Healthcare, Consumer Defensive, Materials and Real Estate of note.
Upcoming Earnings Of Note: (From Chartroom Software – sorted by market cap, highest to lowest with most visible names)
- Monday After the Close:
- Tuesday Before The Open:
Notable Earnings of Note This Morning:
- Flat: BNTX of note
- Beats: BNTX +0.67, FNV +0.05 of note.
- Misses: None of note.
- Still to Report: None of note.
Company Earnings Guidance:
- Positive Guidance: FNV of note.
- Negative or Mixed Guidance: BNTX of note.
Advance/Decline Daily Update: the A/D fell to major support making new lows, before a rebound and just made a new low. Not updated for Monday.
Gap Ups & Down In Early Pre-Market: (+2% or down more than -2%):
- Gap Up: CKPT +66.8%, BEAM +29.3%, TRVI +24.9%, VRN +18.5%, MLYS +16.1%, JBI +14.4%, BECN +8%, WLFC +5.9%, DASH +4.9%, PERI +3.7%, LGTY +3.6%, CTSH +3.4%, TKO +2.6%, FNV +2.6%, EXE +2.1%, of note.
- Gap Down: LUNR -9%, HOOD -6.7%, NVO -5.7%, DXCM -3.6%, HIVE -3%, ASX -2.8%, NVT -2.7%, VAL -2.4%, SYNA -2.4%, GEO -2.1%, of note.
Insider Action: see Insider Buying with dumb short selling. see Insider Buying with smart short sellers.
Rags & Mags: Repeated stories from prior days never listed, i.e. “rehashed news”. Sorted by Global, U.S. and stock specific.
- Market Wrap: US Stock Futures Drop as Fears Mount for Economy. (Bloomberg)
- Bloomberg: US to Press Ukraine For Peace Agreement At Saudi Meeting. (Bloomberg)
- Stocks Making The Biggest Moves: . (CNBC)
- China puts tariffs on American ag products. (NYT)
- Mark Carney wins the Canadian Election and is named the next Prime Minister of Canada.
- 5 Things To Know Before the Market Opens. (CNBC)
Economic:
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None of note today. Due this week: NFIB Small Business Optimism, CPI, Treasury Budget, PPI, University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment.
Geopolitical: (Watch our Twitter feed, Bullet86, for any impromptu appearances)
- President Trump’s Daily Schedule.
- President Trump holds a roundtable with Tech CEOs at 2:00 p.m. EDT.
- President Trump signs Executive Orders at 3:00 p.m. EDT.
- President Trump attends the swearing in of the new head of the Secret Services at 5:00 p.m. EDT.
- Not updating Fed speakers today.
M&A Activity and News:
- Rocket Mortgage (RKT) to buy Redfin (RDFN) for $12.50 a share..
Moving Average Table: Moves from 17% to 9% on Friday. Not updated today.
Meeting & Conferences of Note: (Not updated today, back tomorrow)
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- Sellside Conferences:
- Sellside Conferences:
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- Shareholder Meetings:
- Top Analyst, Investor Meetings:
- Update: None of note.
- Fireside Chat
- R&D Day: None of note.
- FDA Presentation:
- Industry Meetings or Events:
Upgrades & Downgrades:
The recommendations listed below in this “Upgrade/Downgrade” section are compiled from what we believe are Tier I, II and III firms. Recommendations posted are taken from a variety of sources each day and we only post upgrades or significant initiations as well as downgrades to underweight or sell. The purpose of this posting is to make the reader aware of market-moving recommendations. None of these recommendations should be interpreted as actual recommendations from CAPIS or its employees.
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- Upgrades: KEY IRT FOUR CPT CBRL ABNB
- Downgrades: EMR
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