CAPIS Morning Note – 2/3/21: Several Federal Reserve Speakers This Afternoon

Covid-19 Statistics:  Total Cases 26,052,734 from 25,937,115 Deaths 437,237 from 433,751 New Tests 1,375,084 from 1,610,238 New Cases 115,619 from 119,747 with positivity rate of 8.4% (up 1.0) Daily Deaths 3,486 Current Hospitalizations 92,880 from 93,536 Capital Raises: We will be back with this section tomorrow. Earnings Out After The Close Of Note: Beats: AMZN +6.94,…

Covid-19 Statistics: 

Total Cases 26,052,734 from 25,937,115

Deaths 437,237 from 433,751

New Tests 1,375,084 from 1,610,238

New Cases 115,619 from 119,747 with positivity rate of 8.4% (up 1.0)

Daily Deaths 3,486

Current Hospitalizations 92,880 from 93,536

Capital Raises: We will be back with this section tomorrow.

Earnings Out After The Close Of Note:

Beats: AMZN +6.94, GOOG +6.32, PKI +0.95, AMGN +0.47, CB +0.36, SANM +0.21, STE +0.20, ICHR +0.19, ATO +0.18, POWI +0.16, MANH +0.13, SCSC +0.12, ATGE +0.10, FBHS +0.08, TENB +0.07, APAM +0.05, BRKS +0.05, VIAV +0.04, GL +0.03, MRCY +0.03, DOX +0.02, IPHI +0.02, FEYE +0.02, EPAY +0.02, ALGM +0.01

Flat:  BDN +0.00

Misses: CMG (0.25), EA (0.06), AMCR (0.04), MTCH (0.01)

 News After The Close:

Amazon (AMZN) CEO Jeff Bezos will move to Executive Chairman in Q3.
NASDAQ (NDAQ) saw equity options volume rise over last January and last month.
Erlanger Valuelines: Volatility is on the rise. Updated 2/2.

Hourly Action – Updated 2/2 close. 

What’s Happening This Morning: Futures value reflects the change with fair value. We will still indicate the fair value direction. Quick comment -Futures are very strong this morning reversing a portion of Friday’s losses.

S&P 500 +15  Dow Jones Industrial Average +9   NASDAQ +92   Russell 2000 -3.40. Fair values are lower. Asia and Europe mixed.

Gold, silver and copper higher. WTI Crude Oil and Brent Oil Futures higher. Natural Gas is lower. $ is lower vs Euro, higher vs Pound and lower vs Yen. US 10 year Treasury price is at $136.80 from $136.89 with the yield at 1.12% from 1.13%.

Positive Sectors On Tuesday: Financials, Industrials and Technology.

Negative Sectors On Tuesday:  Materials of note.

One Month Winners: Energy, Financials Real Estate and Industrials  of note.

Three Month Winners: Industrials, Communication Services, Utilities and Financials of note.

Six Month Winners: Consumer Cyclical, Industrials, Technology and Materials of note.

Twelve Month Winners: Technology, Consumer Cyclical, Communication Services and Healthcare of note.

Year to Date: Energy, Materials, Healthcare and Financials of note.

Upcoming Earnings Of: (sorted by market cap, highest to lowest with most visible names)

Today After the Close: PYPL, QCOM, KLAC, MET, CTSH, ALGN, EBAY, ALL, AFL, CTVA, YUMC, AVB, QRVO, AVTR, IAC, MAA, IEX, LNC, UHAL of note.

Thursday Before the Open: MRK, BMY, PM, CI, BDX, ABB, ICE, APD, BAX, BCE, CMI, PH, ALXN, YUM, TDG, HSY of note.

Earnings This Morning Of Note:

Beats: EVR +3.55, LAD +2.52, SMG +1.07, SC +0.67, LFUS +0.65, LGND +0.63, CPRI +0.62, INGR +0.29, CHKP +0.25, APO +0.22, MTOR +0.18, AVY +0.16, TGI +0.15, APTV +0.12, SLAB +0.11, WNC +0.08, PFGC +0.08, ABBV +0.07, BIP +0.05, DT +0.04, HWM +0.04, HUM +0.02

Flat: GSK +0.00

Misses: EPD (0.36), MSGS (0.35), BIIB (0.18), SPOT (0.14), BSX (0.08)

Still to Report: CNHI, GWW, MIME, SNDR, VNE

Erlanger Research Advance/Decline Chart –  Updated 2/2 Close. 

Gap Ups & Down In Early Pre-Market:

Gap up:

CLIR +15.9%, ISBC +12%, ATGE +10%, SNE +7.9%, SNE +7.9%, AMCR +7.5%, GOOG +7.4%, ARGX +5.7%, CVAC +5.6%, VIAV +5.5%, LU +5.3%, TGI +5%, VOD +4.4%, NVO +4.2%, INGR +4.1%

Gap down:

VYGR -11.1%, SMCI -9%, TMDI -7.2%, MTCH -6.7%, X -6.5%, ALGM -6.3%, SPOT -6.1%, TENB -5.8%, KRYS -4%, EA -4%, OPEN -3.8%

Stock Index Trading:

Current through 2/2 close. Overall confidence moves from 60% to 89%.

Bold means a change from prior day.

Geopolitical:

Press Briefing by White House COVID-19 Response Team and public health officials, 11:00 a.m. EST

Press Briefing by Press Secretary Jen Psaki, 1:30 p.m. EST

The President and The Vice President receive the President’s Daily Brief, Oval Office, 5:30 p.m. EST

Federal Reserve St. Louis President James Bullard will speak at 1:00 p.m. EST.

Federal Reserve Philadelphia President Patrick Harker will speak at 2:00 p.m. EST.

Federal Reserve Chicago President Charles Evans will speak at 5:00 p.m. EST.

Economic:

Weekly API Petroleum Data saw a draw of both crude oil by and gasoline.

Weekly MBA Mortgage Applications were out at 7:00 a.m. EST and

ADP Employment Report is due out at 8:15 a.m. EST and is expected to improve to 55,000 from -123,000. Came in at 175,000, a strong beat.

January ISM Non-Manufacturing Index is due out at 10:00 a.m. EST and is expected to fall to 57% from 57.2%.

Weekly Crude Oil Inventories are due out at 10:30 a.m. EST.

Investor, Sellside and Industry Meetings

 STIC (Webinar) BDSX (Investor Call)  COST FMS VOD (Update) KBR (Fireside Chat) LACQ SHEN (Conference Call)

Sellside: Canaccord Genuity New Paradigms and Treatment Approaches in Mental Health Conference (2/3-2/4) Janney West Coast CEO Forum (2/3-2/4) BMO Infrastructure & Utilties Conference (2/3-2/4)

Industry Conferences: Annual LSX World Congress (2/1-2/5) Semicon Korea (2/2-2/5)

M&A Activity:

Upgrades & Downgrades of Note This Morning: Not update this morning will be in tomorrow.

Tuesday Recommendations